Samsung – Barely a murmur

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There was a huge, but deadly silent crowd at today’s launches. 

  • There were lights. There were stars. There were some great products but no one seemed to be that excited by them.
  • There was nothing revolutionary about Samsung’s product launches but I am hopeful we are getting towards the kind of products that play to the strengths of Windows 8.
  • First up was Galaxy. Samsung has expanded the range of Galaxy S4 devices to cater to different sub-categories of smartphone user.
  • The Galaxy S4 Active (Robust and water resistant), Galaxy S4 Mini (small form factor) and Galaxy S4 Zoom (optimised for imaging) were all formally launched.
  • This is a good move by Samsung to more closely address the different demographics of the market but it is a worrying sign for profitability.
  • If the number of devices needed to fully address the market increases then the number of devices shipped per model or SKU will fall.
  • For Samsung this is bad news.
  • It has no real platform strategy and a part of its profitability has been predicated on the iPhone-driven concentration of the smartphone market to huge volumes of just a few models.
  • When a handset maker has shipped more than several million of a smartphone the marginal profitability becomes very attractive indeed and this has been a part of Samsung’s recent rise to glory.
  • If this trend continues and the market continues to fragment, Samsung will need to put its Galaxy products onto a single platform from which it can efficiently make large numbers of variants.
  • This is not a problem yet, but I can rapidly seeing it becoming one as the smartphone market matures and fragments and the number of devices shipped per SKU starts to fall.
  • Launches of new ATIV products were much more interesting with the ATIV Q and the ATIV Tab 3 being launched.
  • Of Windows Phone there was no sign which is a clear indication of what Samsung thinks of the outlook for this platform.
  • This is negative for Nokia but should Windows Phone actually see some traction, then Samsung will be far enough behind to give Nokia a good run before the Koreans catch up.
  • The ATIV Q copies Asustek in launching a dual Windows 8 / Android product.
  • The idea here is to have the benefits of Windows 8 without having to sacrifice app. availability.
  • This device is an interesting form factor and allows Android apps to be pinned to the Windows 8 metro user interface.
  • I suspect that this device is running Windows RT and as a result is unlikely to do much in the way of volume. (see here)
  • Far more exiting is the Samsung ATIV Tab 3. This is a thin and light tablet that runs a full version of Windows 8.
  • It is using Intel’s Haswell.
  • This allows the device to be 8.2mm thick and weighing in at 550g (less than an iPad 3) while still having reasonable battery life.
  • Stick on a nice keyboard dock and there are the makings of a proper hybrid device without having to make a compromise in terms of use.
  • This is exactly the kind of device that could give Windows 8 a badly needed boost and I hope that it is just the first of many.
  • This gives me hope that Windows 8 can see some signs of life towards the end of this year but it is a market that will be clearly dominated by Samsung and Asustek.
  • This was not the pop-up extravaganza promised but a steady evolution that should ensure that Samsung stays on top for a while yet.

RICHARD WINDSOR

Richard is founder, owner of research company, Radio Free Mobile. He has 16 years of experience working in sell side equity research. During his 11 year tenure at Nomura Securities, he focused on the equity coverage of the Global Technology sector.

Blog Comments

> “This allows the device to be 8.2mm thick and weighing in at 550g (less than an iPad 3) while still having reasonable battery life.”
Two exact quantities followed by waving hand, so I presume battery life is not that great. 🙂

we will see when it comes to battery life…but I am reasonably optimistic when it comes to the merits of Haswell.

> “It has no real platform strategy and a part of its profitability has been predicated on the iPhone-driven concentration of the smartphone market to huge volumes of just a few models.”
That is an interesting take. Most other analysts thinks Samsung’s success lies in its ability to have a smartphone for every niche of functionality, screen size, price and geography. If so, this may be no more than consolidation of its Android assets under Galaxy brand.

They have not quite got it right….its success is because of the fact that it sells 20m units of one model with 3 SKUs. In the old days if one sold more than 1m units of any one model one was very happy now the market is much more concentrated there is no real need for a proper platform.

If the market fragments again as it matures then Smausng’s profitability will come under pressure and those that cab produce off a platform ill benefit once again.

Large sales volume thanks to all these niches and lots of profits thanks to that one high volume platform? It actually makes sense, as the most profitable phone maker is also the one with the fewest SKUs.

Totally correct….if the market massively segments this will rapidly change to the one that can address all the segments most efficiently…this means platforms will be required.