AlphaFold almost fulfils its promise. DeepMind has expanded a crucial biological database by 200x confirming that an entire branch of scientific enquiry is now virtually obsolete. AlphaFold is DeepMind’s algorithm that is capable of predicting the physical structure of proteins based purely on their amino acid sequence which was interesting in 2018 (see here), impressive in 2020 (see here) and...
Amazon Q2 2022 – Good. Amazon reported good results and guidance as AWS and its on-site advertising business supported softness in its biggest business and are expected to enhance e-commerce to allow growth to go back to 10% YoY from Q3 2022. Q2 2022 revenues / EPS were $121.2bn / LOSS$0.20 compared to forecasts $119.2bn / $0.12. The losses include...
Meta Platforms Q2 2022 – Slows the Metaverse. Meta Platforms reported soft numbers and increased the price for the Oculus VR headset in a sign that the next year or so is going to be tricky and that investments are being slowed to deal with that. Revenues / EPS were $28.8bn / $2.46 broadly in line with consensus at $28.9bn...
Alphabet Q2 2022 – Taken share. Alphabet reported weaker than expected results but crucially they were not as bad as feared and the company spoke reasonably optimistically about its outlook. Q2 2022 revenues-ex TAC / EPS were $57.5bn / $1.21 compared to estimates of $58.0bn / $1.32. Despite the miss and the lack of concrete guidance, the market saw this...
FF’s future lies in Chapter 7 or 11. Faraday Future gave a glimpse of its inevitable future with yet another delay of its vehicle that was first expected to hit the market in 2018 and a warning that it needs more money. Faraday Future has announced a delay to the start of production of its F91 EV but most concerning...
Snap Q2 2022: Out of road. Snap’s growth has ground to a halt as a result of the recession and greater competition meaning that the focus needs to be on what this company is worth now rather than some pipe dream in the future. Q2 2022 revenues / Adj-EPS were $1.11bn / LOSS$0.02 broadly in line with consensus but the...
Radio Free Mobile is taking a short break and will return on July 25th.
A big discount is on the cards. Although I think that Twitter may very well win its court case against Mr Musk, enforcing the ruling will be almost impossible which is likely to force it back to the negotiating table meaning a lower price or a much lower break-up fee. Ever since the beginning of this entertaining episode, I have...
The turnaround begins. Peloton has fired the starter’s gun on its turnaround by announcing its exit from making fitness equipment but the tepid reaction of the share price indicates just how much negative sentiment surrounds this company. Peloton is exiting from hardware in a move that had to happen as the hardware model has never worked (see here) and now...
Richard is founder, owner of research company, Radio Free Mobile. He has 16 years of experience working in sell side equity research. During his 11 year tenure at Nomura Securities, he focused on the equity coverage of the Global Technology sector.
China vs USA – Tit for tat.
Storm in a teacup. The SEC has added Alibaba to its list of Chinese companies that will be delisted in 2024 in a move that in my opinion is really just part of a negotiation that will end up with Chinese companies staying listed in the USA should they so desire. Nonetheless, Alibaba’s share price has tanked again on the...