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Airbnb – Irrational effervescence.

Asset sharing during a pandemic remains a bad idea. If Airbnb can go public at a level 66% higher than it raised money earlier this...

SoftBank and Arm – Arm’s off.

Arm looks to be off the table. The reorganisation of Arm that was announced last month (see here) has been cancelled in what I think...

Arm – Back to basics.

A return to the public market is now more likely. Arm’s restructuring is either signalling a rapid return to the stock market or no return...

SoftBank – The family silver pt. II

Timing of a vaccine is critical. With the departure of Jack Ma and the completion of the Sprint, T-Mobile merger, SoftBank will sell down its...

SoftBank – Viral pin.

SoftBank will emerge better and stronger. It is the realisation it overpaid for many of its portfolio investments that is causing SoftBank so much difficulty...

SoftBank – Fire sale?

SoftBank is likely to have to sell more assets.  SoftBank is in an increasingly tight spot as many of its portfolio companies are in trouble...

SoftBank – The family silver.

The sharing economy is in meltdown.  I think that it is extremely unlikely that SoftBank will become insolvent but a continued decline in confidence in...

Cash scramble – Greenback King.

Great bargains to be had. The US dollar has become the most desired monetary instrument surpassing traditional safe havens like US Treasuries and even Gold...

SoftBank – The domino effect

ERRATUM: Corrects previous version which incorrectly stated that SoftBank has $2.8bn in cash (Q4 19) when the correct figure is $35.9bn.  SoftBank goes into cash...

Airbnb – Perfect storm

No IPO but no chapter 11 either. The perfect storm of a large ramp in spending just as the Coronavirus kills its bookings are going...