The cure for high prices is high prices. The Chinese export restrictions on Gallium and Germanium are tight enough to have triggered significant price rises which will in time incentivise production to resume outside of China both fixing the price problem and demonstrating that the Chinese restrict strategy will have no long-term impact. In July 2023, China restricted the export...
A classic example of too much money. The loss of 60% of its founders just months after being founded and raising $220m despite having no products, looks like a sign that in the rush to invest in AI, red flags are being ignored and due diligence is being skimmed which always ends in problems. The H Company (formerly Holistic) was...
Pandemic darlings tell different stories. Peloton FQ4 24 – The turn Peloton reported revenues that grew YoY dispelling fears of the company being in a death spiral which, combined with finally breaking even on a cash flow basis, gives hope that the ship has finally stopped sinking. The result was a 35% jump in the share price but given how...
RFM has taken the company camel on a tour of Southern France and Northern Italy and will return on August 23rd 2024
A dummy will be launched. The idea that Full Service Driving (FSD) will be a commercial reality in 2025 remains a fantasy but Mr Musk will strengthen the resolve of his fans with the launch of a vehicle that will look like FSD but lack the intelligence to offer FSD in any commercial capacity. In its most recent earnings report,...
SearchGPT unlikely to go anywhere. OpenAI’s latest attempt to take on Google is probably more about generating revenue and reducing losses but given Bing’s failure to make a dent in Google, it looks doomed to failure. Google has an enviable position in search with a 90% market share and an advertising business that generates well over $200bn in annual revenues...
Zuckerberg undercuts an industry. Meta Platforms has just dropped a bomb on the generative AI industry by offering more than OpenAI does and doing so for free. Combine this with the substantial cash burn going on at many of these startups and one can rapidly see how there is going to be a serious problem. Meta Platforms offering models to...
Game changer that will be largely ignored. Nvidia AI Foundry is a consequential announcement as it looks like it has been designed to maintain Nvidia’s dominance in AI when CUDA is no longer the control point in the AI ecosystem. However, I am pretty certain that the timing of the announcement and the complexity of the topic will ensure that...
Big disconnect between words, numbers, investments and revenues. Alphabet reported solid Q2 2024 results, but anyone would think from the commentary that all of the revenues were coming from its new AI products rather than advertising (75%), cloud (12%) and subscriptions (11%). I suspect the generative AI services make up a tiny percentage of the revenue despite massive investment and...
Richard is founder, owner of research company, Radio Free Mobile. He has 16 years of experience working in sell side equity research. During his 11 year tenure at Nomura Securities, he focused on the equity coverage of the Global Technology sector.
Artificial Intelligence – Silicon Game
Cerebras admits it can’t compete in training. Cerebras’ pivot towards inference is both an indication of where the market is going and an admission that when it comes to training, no one is close to competing against Nvidia. Cerebras Systems is a privately held semiconductor company that designs and sells silicon chips for AI training and inference and is a...