OpenAI – Brain Drain

How this is worth $150bn is beyond me. It is said that a company is more than just one man but when almost all of the brains of the company are no longer there, one has to wonder what this means for product launches, revenues and of course, value. In a tweet clearly drafted by a lawyer, Mira Murati, CTO...

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Artificial Intelligence – The Sledgehammer

LLM controls come at a cost to functionality. OpenAI has finally launched its voice assistant but even after months of delay, key features are missing underlining just how difficult it is to control LLMs when they have no idea what it is that they are doing, and their creators have no idea how they work. OpenAI’s voice assistant is now...

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China Economy – Semi-Serious

More than the PBOC is needed. China has taken a raft of measures that are finally big enough to stimulate the economy but if China really wants to see a renaissance, it will need to give the private sector more space to invest, create, succeed or fail and critically, make money. After 18 months of drudgery and depression, China’s 2024...

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Qualcomm & Intel – Indigestion

Qualcomm doesn’t need Intel. The vultures are hovering around Intel and while Intel will make a tasty and nutritious meal for some, I think Intel would end up sticking in Qualcomm’s crop and give it a bad case of indigestion. Multiple sources are now reporting that Qualcomm has had discussions with Intel about a possible acquisition which leads me to...

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China Tech – Withering Away

The heart of Chinese innovation is dying. China intends to become a global technology leader but the state of innovation in China is moribund meaning that unless something changes, it will fall further and further behind the rest of the world. Five to ten years ago, China was second only to Silicon Valley, with more than 51,302 (IT Juzi) start-ups...

OpenAI – Strange Action & AI Conference

OpenAI acts like someone with something to hide. OpenAI’s shiny new model is already stoking controversy as OpenAI is threatening to eject users who have the temerity to try and figure out how the system works in a sign that either OpenAI is on the road to AGI and doesn’t want to lose its lead or that users that will...

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China vs. USA – A Drop in the Ocean

China’s new machines don’t add up to much. China has announced new semiconductor manufacturing machines that will help it eliminate its dependence on foreign equipment, but the reality is that these machines are so far behind the leading edge that I think that they will have very little impact. The USA’s current policy is to limit China’s rise as a...

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Intel – Lifeline

Intel secures an anchor tenant. Intel’s arrangement with Amazon and the delay of its European rollout add to previous measures that aim to conserve cash underlying just how badly the turnaround has gone and the opportunities that Intel has missed. Intel provided two updates on 16th September the first of which was an expansion of its relationship with AWS and...

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OpenAI – Hot Mess pt. III

The hot mess may be tidied up. OpenAI’s corporate structure has been unfit for purpose for over a year now but finally, it looks as if investors paying a pre-money valuation of $150bn are forcing OpenAI to become a proper company rather than a science project with a commercial attachment. OpenAI as it exists today is a powder keg that...

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Artificial Intelligence – Reasoning Debate pt. II

o1 runs before it can walk. OpenAI has blown the reasoning argument wide open again with the launch of o1 but the model still makes fundamental mistakes implying it still does not have the basic building blocks of reasoning leading me to wonder whether the rest is still just an illusion. This “breakthrough” in LLM capability comes just at the...

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