Microsoft – All go or all stay

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If Bing and Xbox are to go all the rest must follow.

  • The debate is raging over what the future holds for Microsoft and whether it should become more focused or more effectively use the assets it has.
  • Hence, there is a groundswell of opinion that Microsoft should slim down its activities and focus on making money.
  • What it really comes down is whether Microsoft wants to be a very profitable company focused mainly on the enterprise or whether it wants to become one of the big eco-system players.
  • Microsoft currently loses a fortune through its ownership of Bing and Xbox but I am far from convinced that it should get rid of either of them.
  • If Microsoft aims to be a player in the ecosystem then it cannot afford to rid itself of Bing or Xbox.
  • This is because these assets are important pieces of the Digital Life pie and must be retained if Microsoft wants to be relevant for consumers.
  • I have long been of the opinion that in an ecosystem, the whole is greater than the sum of the parts meaning that each player needs to have as wide coverage a possible.
  • At the moment Microsoft is right up there with 74% of Digital Life covered making it one of the leading players.
  • If it were to rid itself of Xbox and Bing, this figure would fall to 37% substantially weakening its offering.
  • This would put it behind Google and Yahoo! putting it on a par with Apple which I consider to be one of the weaker players in this space. 
  • If these assets are to go out the door there is no point in keeping any of the others.
  • Hence, the other consumer assets such as MSN and Skype would also need to follow.
  • One would also then need to start asking hard questions about the logic of acquiring Nokia’s feature phone business.
  • Microsoft’s future as a consumer ecosystem play depends on keeping all of these assets together.
  • If one or two go, they all need to go, as they will have no place in a company purely focused on the enterprise.  

 

RICHARD WINDSOR

Richard is founder, owner of research company, Radio Free Mobile. He has 16 years of experience working in sell side equity research. During his 11 year tenure at Nomura Securities, he focused on the equity coverage of the Global Technology sector.