Magic Leap – The greatest showman.

Rony shows his true talent.

  • Magic Leap appears to have raised another $350m giving it a lifeline for a few quarters demonstrating that while Rony Abovitz may have difficulty in creating a decent product, he is a genius at raising money.
  • The current climate of cash hoarding and extreme caution is one of the worst times imaginable to be raising money but somehow Magic Leap has pulled a rabbit from the hat.
  • The cash injection has meant that Magic Leap has cancelled the 50% workforce reduction (see here) and it is now doubling down on the enterprise.
  • The money appears to have come from a combination of new investors, existing investors including one that has a healthcare background indicating just how this round may have been pitched.
  • Magic Leap has been in financial difficulty for some time and recently failed to sell itself to a buyer meaning that the newfound interest must be being driven by the pandemic trend of 2020.
  • Healthcare is the flavour of the month at the moment and remote or socially distant healthcare doubly so.
  • Magic Leap recently pivoted away from its long-held consumer position towards the enterprise and it seems that healthcare will now be a major focus going forward.
  • This move puts it into direct competition with Microsoft and its HoloLens product.
  • The issue is that when it comes to the enterprise, Magic Leap is far behind Microsoft’s HoloLens and has nothing like the financial clout of its major competitor.
  • Microsoft will also be in a position to cross-subsidise HoloLens with its other offerings such as Azure as well as offer a far more complete solution.
  • Hence, I don’t think that healthcare is going to help Magic Leap very much and this looks very much like the last gasp before the doors finally close.
  • To make matters worse, Magic Leap has no assets of any real description as it has previously pledged all of its IP to JP Morgan as collateral on its loans.
  • Hence, if the doors finally close, there will be nothing left for anyone except JP Morgan.
  • This has probably been reflected in the valuation of the new funding round which must have been done at a small fraction of what has been paid in the past.
  • Even at a very low valuation, this is a major achievement by Rony Abovitz who has proved that he is a better showman than entrepreneur.
  • Needless to say, I do not expect this to go anywhere other than to prolong the inevitable for a few months or quarters.

RICHARD WINDSOR

Richard is founder, owner of research company, Radio Free Mobile. He has 16 years of experience working in sell side equity research. During his 11 year tenure at Nomura Securities, he focused on the equity coverage of the Global Technology sector.