Internet monetisation – The slow dawn.

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The realisation that free internet is a myth is slowly dawning.

  • Wired is the latest publication to insist that users either turn-off ad blocking software or pay a subscription to access its website.
  • Wired will charge $3.99 per month to users who block its ads which is very similar to the move taken by Axel Springer in October 2015.
  • Ad blocking occurs in about 1 out of 5 of Wired’s visitors, of which the vast majority are from desktops and not mobile.
  • Furthermore, research from Media Radar suggests that only 4% of large online publishers have moved to address ad. blocking as many are more worried about losing users rather than a portion of their revenues.
  • I have long believed that there has never been any such thing as free internet as users either pay with cash or with personal data / advertising.
  • The problem is that virtually all users who are paying with personal data do not realise that they are actually paying for the services that they consume.
  • Consequently, when they are then expected to pay cash for the same service it is seen as a huge price increase rather than paying for the service in a different way.
  • Because paying with personal data has been almost invisible to many users for many years, it has perpetuated the myth that the internet is free.
  • There are many legitimate and well respected businesses that depend on advertising to make a living, and the threat of having it cut off could put them out of business.
  • RFM’s ecosystem monetisation model sees three methods of monetisation for any digital ecosystem:
    • First: Own the hardware and keep the ecosystem or the service exclusive to that hardware and charge a premium for it.
    • This is what Apple does so effectively and where the Android makers are really struggling.
    • Second: Make the ecosystem or service available on as many devices as possible.
    • The experience is “free” but a return is earned by using users’ personal data to generate advertising or relevant marketing.
    • This is Google, Facebook, Twitter and so on.
    • Third: Charge the user a per month fee to get access to the service and keep it free of annoying advertising.
    • This is just beginning to emerge for ecosystems but individual services like Netflix, Spotify, Amazon Prime and Xbox Live are already well established.
  • The good news is that the combination of Apple’s move to allow ad blockers and the resulting publicity is resulting in increasing awareness of this issue.
  • All these companies are really saying is that users that don’t like method number 2 can choose to pay via method 3 instead.
  • This is why I remain comfortable that companies that use advertising will continue to earn their revenues one way or another.
  • In fact, I suspect that users faced with the choice of paying a few dollars a month for something that they thought that they previously got for free, will opt to turn off their ad blockers and the storm will be over.
  • I continue to see no threat to the revenues of Google, Facebook, Twitter and so on but continue to prefer Facebook over Google and Google over Twitter.

RICHARD WINDSOR

Richard is founder, owner of research company, Radio Free Mobile. He has 16 years of experience working in sell side equity research. During his 11 year tenure at Nomura Securities, he focused on the equity coverage of the Global Technology sector.