Intel TV – Crux not fixed.

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Intel has nothing to make a splash in over-the-top (OTT) internet TV.

  • Intel has already confirmed that it is working on an internet television platform with the aim to provide broadcast TV, catch-up TV and on-demand video.
  • This is all well and good but at the moment only 5% of US households have “cut the cable” despite a fairly sizeable number of offerings to choose from.
  • This strongly implies that internet TV is not yet have the depth (programming) or the reach (fast enough internet) to present a viable challenge to the existing broadcast industry.
  • The ideal solution will be one where a subscriber can access to everything he wants through a single electronic programming guide be it live sports, broadcast TV, catch-up TV or on-demand programming.
  • Live sports and broadcast TV are currently closely controlled by a few companies that will do everything in their power to ensure that TV over the Internet does not take-off.
  • TV over the internet is the single greatest challenge that the broadcast industry has ever faced and one, if ignored, that will quietly put it out of business.
  • This is why I think that when Google, Microsoft and others banged on the door to discuss integrating broadcast TV into their hardware, they were met with a flat refusal.
  • Turkeys do not vote for Christmas (or Thanksgiving) and allowing the OTT players any space at all will simply hasten the demise of broadcast.
  • Intel is still optimistic but I suspect this is because it has not yet tried to negotiate with broadcast.
  • When it does, it will be met with the same response and so yet another offering will far short of what it needs to take-off anytime soon.
  • There is no doubt in my mind that TV over the internet is the future but until the penetration levels hit around 25% or so it will be a long and hard road.
  • Hence, I see no reason why Intel’s offering will be any different to anyone else’s and as it does not have the draw of games, it is likely to languish.
  • PS4, Xbox, Apple TV and Roku dominate this market and there is no reason for anyone to suddenly to switch to Intel.
  • If Intel can bring broadcast into its offering then it will have something, but for now it will be an also ran.

 

RICHARD WINDSOR

Richard is founder, owner of research company, Radio Free Mobile. He has 16 years of experience working in sell side equity research. During his 11 year tenure at Nomura Securities, he focused on the equity coverage of the Global Technology sector.

Blog Comments

>”Turkeys do not vote for Christmas (or Thanksgiving)”
Yet, they get eaten regardless. 🙂

LOL 🙂