Google & Co. – Broken Valley pt. V.

Google, & Co. have their tentacles in almost everything that’s “free”

  • RFM’ use of Google as the developed market’s benchmark for monetisation gains greater foundation as it turns out that 88% of free Android apps available on Google Play can share data with a Google-owned entity.
  • This enables Google to gather data on almost all activities that are being carried out on Android devices.
  • A study from Oxford University (see here) tested 1m free apps from Google Play (approximately 33% of all free apps available) looking for tracker hosts which are services embedded in apps that are capable of sharing data with 3rd parties.
  • The main findings of the research are:
    • First, tracker hosts: were found 93.4% of all apps tested of which the median number of trackers was 10 and where 17.9% of free apps had more than 20 distinct tracker hosts.
    • Only 9.6% of all free apps tested had no trackers.
    • Second, tracker host ownership: Ownership of tracker hosts is quite concentrated meaning that a lot of the data ends up in the hands of the same companies.
    • Despite this, the median number of entities with whom data was shared was 5 with 17.4% of all free apps tested sharing data with more than 10 entities.
    • Third, data destination: 90.2% of apps were sharing data with US-based entities with only 5.1% being based in China.
    • Norway and Russia were next with 3.2% and 2.6% respectively.
    • Fourth, data ownership: The ultimate ownership of this data is extremely concentrated both in terms of geography (above) and digital ecosystem.
    • It is the usual suspects:
    • 88% of all free apps have tracker hosts that can share data with a Google entity, 43% Facebook, 34% Twitter, 26% Verizon (read Yahoo), 23% Microsoft and 18% Amazon.
  • Obviously, all of this data is shared following the opt-in of the user, but the problem is that almost all users will be unaware of this.
  • This is because every Digital Life service comes with a lengthy user agreement to which almost everyone simply scrolls to the bottom and clicks “agree”.
  • In those user agreements are buried the consents that allow the tracker hosts to share the data.
  • I think that any indignation or outcry that follows from this study is misplaced, as these companies are doing no more than following an agreement that the user has digitally signed.
  • Usage of these services is entirely voluntary and any argument to the contrary is flawed in my opinion.
  • Furthermore, the digital ecosystems need to do this to earn a return on the investment that they have made in their Digital Life services.
  • The internet is not free and never has been, but I think that going forward things need to be much less opaque and that users need to be given a clear choice.
  • Something along the lines of: “We are able to provide this service to you by selling using your data for targeted advertising. If you would like us not to do this, we can offer you a subscription for $X per month.” will be needed to ensure that the relationship is clear.
  • I can see everyone based on advertising being forced down this path but the impact on revenues is very unclear.
  • This is because it is those that marketers want to target most (the high end) that are most likely to go for a fixed cost subscription and these users generate the most advertising revenue.
  • The net result is uncertainty around the outlook for the advertising monetisation business model and its impact on medium-term revenues.
  • While this is being worked out, Apple is the only one that emerges unscathed and should outperform while this reality is being digested.

RICHARD WINDSOR

Richard is founder, owner of research company, Radio Free Mobile. He has 16 years of experience working in sell side equity research. During his 11 year tenure at Nomura Securities, he focused on the equity coverage of the Global Technology sector.