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USA vs. China – The tell

China reveals its hand. China has banned Micron’s products from critical infrastructure in a move that clearly demonstrates just how weak its hand is in semiconductors which remains something it...

Qualcomm FQ2 23 & AMD Q1 23 – Cycle hurts

Down cycle sinks all boats. Qualcomm FQ2 23 – Well positioned Qualcomm reported results that demonstrated its ability to manage its business but was forced to guide weakly as the...

Arm vs. Qualcomm – Preamble

A situation that makes little sense. The dispute between Arm and Qualcomm is one of the more bizarre that I have seen in my time, but it is descending into...

TSMC Q1 2023 – Yin and Yang.

Inventory correction offset by China. TSMC reported weak Q1 2023 results and guided down expectations, but this had been anticipated which combined with some initial positive signs on the Chinese...

Semiconductors – Game of subsidies

No one is thinking about economics at the moment. It looks like Intel’s requests for more subsidies to build leading-edge fabs in Germany will pay off, but the subsidies are...

Samsung Q1 23 – Supercycle pt. X

Samsung semi goes into the red. Samsung reported preliminary results where profit fell by 95% as semiconductors in all probability has become loss-making which in turn triggered Samsung to finally...

China vs. USA – Japan and Micron

Japan: the samurai strikes. Japan has entered the fray and put in place restrictions on semiconductor exports that are more draconian than the USA and where the Japanese state has...

USA vs. China – The Netherlands

The Dutch are unlikely to go nearly as far. The Netherlands has said that it is going to place more restrictions on exports to China but I suspect that these...

Semiconductors – More cash please!

Geopolitics and subsidies in the driving seat. Intel is asking Germany to increase the level of subsidy that it is providing to incentivize leading-edge manufacturing in Germany which indicates both...

Arm FQ3 FY22 – More questions than answers

STOP PRESS Updates below with more details on adjusted EBITDA vs. Pre-tax profit. Buried on page 24 of the earnings statement from SoftBank are details of the amortisation of intangibles...