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Artificial Intelligence – Broken business

The business model is already broken.  Generative AI start-ups are busily raising money at ludicrous valuations based on the idea that they will be able to charge $20 per month...

Peloton – 3rd time lucky?

Peloton is not for the faint of heart.  Peloton is a fallen angel whose shares I resoundingly hated (see here) when it was flying high but it has now been...

Tencent and China – Dog days.

China is now a deeply contrarian investment.   Disappointing results from Tencent combined with the worsening economic outlook and disappearing data make China a deeply contrarian trade and there is...

SoftBank & Arm – IPO conundrum

One of the trickiest IPOs for many years.   SoftBank’s difficulties are increasing after the Chinese economy has hammered the valuation at which it could exit Alibaba and the knock-on...

Ford – Stern stuff

Ford moves deeper into services.   Ford continues to demonstrate its understanding of the opportunity that it needs to address with the migration of its business model to subscription and...

Alibaba FQ1 24– No takers.

Nobody wants to know. Alibaba reported good results beating expectations and the moribund Chinese economy but even at depressed valuations and with a large share buyback, sentiment towards China remains...

USA vs. China – The screw pt. II

USA cuts off capital to three sectors. The USA will place limits on US investment in 3 Chinese technology sectors in a move that is not really targeted at the...

Amazon and Apple – Holding steady

Apple FQ3 23 – Eating Android. Apple reported a difficult set of results but weakness in the smartphone market was offset by a strong performance from services and the incremental...

Digital Ecosystems – Easier compares

All about cost-cutting. Meta, Google and Microsoft have all painted a rosy picture of recovery but sifting through the details reveals a reality which is much more sanguine although not...

Semiconductors Q2 2023 – Supercycle pt. XIII

AI cannot offset the general malaise. The contrast between TSMC and the rest of the semiconductor industry is a result of AI not being big enough to offset weakness elsewhere...