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Eco-systems

Chatbots – Galloping obsolescence

Alexa, Google Assistant et al have no value. After many years of wrangling, there is finally a smart speaker in the market that supports both Amazon Alexa and Google Assistant...

Huawei – 5G non-starter pt. II

No 5G here.  Huawei has released its latest flagship product but its hesitancy to disclose the details of the components that it is using highlights again how unfeasible it is...

OpenAI – ChatGPT Enterprise

The feature is the bug.  ChatGPT Enterprise looks like a marketing gimmick to make money rather than a serious attempt to offer generative AI services to corporations as, in my...

Nvidia & Peloton – Chalk and cheese

Two very different sets of results. Nvidia Q2 2023 – As good as it gets. Despite results that substantially beat expectations, the shares jumped much less than they did last...

Artificial Intelligence – Broken business

The business model is already broken.  Generative AI start-ups are busily raising money at ludicrous valuations based on the idea that they will be able to charge $20 per month...

SoftBank & Arm – All the stops pt. II

More like Qualcomm than Nvidia.  SoftBank has made public the F-1 for the IPO or Arm which is a fair appraisal of the company, but it does not read like...

SoftBank & Arm – All the stops.

SoftBank leaves no stone unturned in the hunt for $64bn.  The latest transaction between SoftBank and Vision Fund I is an attempt to put a market value down for a...

Peloton – 3rd time lucky?

Peloton is not for the faint of heart.  Peloton is a fallen angel whose shares I resoundingly hated (see here) when it was flying high but it has now been...

Tencent and China – Dog days.

China is now a deeply contrarian investment.   Disappointing results from Tencent combined with the worsening economic outlook and disappearing data make China a deeply contrarian trade and there is...

SoftBank & Arm – IPO conundrum

One of the trickiest IPOs for many years.   SoftBank’s difficulties are increasing after the Chinese economy has hammered the valuation at which it could exit Alibaba and the knock-on...