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China

China Technology – Walk not Talk

The time for talk is over. The outlook for 2025 is for another very bleak year where China falls even further behind the West, meaning that to turn things around,...

China vs. USA – The Screw pt. V

China does not have much of an answer. The outgoing administration will leave its mark with a further significant tightening of export rules and with the moribund state of its...

Pony AI IPO – A Question of Time

Timing of autonomous driving remains very uncertain. Pony AI has gone public on the back of revenues generated from engineering, but real growth will come from ride-sharing fares and when...

USA vs. China – Build the Wall!

The first bricks go up. Huawei’s migration of its smartphone business to its home-grown Harmony OS is the first concrete sign that our long-predicted Balkanisation of the Internet has begun...

PDD & Baidu – Bargains for the Brave

Rotten earnings point towards a state in deep depression. Poor results from both Baidu and PDD point directly to the moribund Chinese economy underpinning the view that nothing will improve...

Tech Newsround – Google & Xiaomi

Google: A badly thought-through remedy. The US Department of Justice is recommending that Google be forced to sell Chrome as a remedy for its illegal monopolisation of the search market...

Alibaba FQ3 25 – Unhappy Hostage.

Alibaba remains captive to China’s poor economy. The performance and outlook at Alibaba are a strong indication that in reality, the Chinese economy remains moribund and that a lot more...

China & Semis – No Score Draw

China and semiconductors are unlikely to change much. A change of administration is likely to mean that there is more noise and bluster but no real change when it comes...

Artificial Intelligence – Hard Times in China

A potential benefit of hardship.  China’s lack of cutting-edge silicon and limited amounts of cash to spend on compute is forcing it to innovate in ways that may allow it...

ASML Q3 24 – The Inevitable

The Chinese are no longer stockpiling.   The combination of economic-related delays and China realising that stockpiling ASML equipment ahead of further bans might not help them very much has...