Microsoft – On the job.

Toys for workers. 

  • Microsoft has given its Surface line-up a badly needed refresh and is having a go at Bose and Sony with the launch of Surface Headphones.
  • Of the much-anticipated phone sized Windows 10 folding device (Andromeda), there was no sign but the indications are that Microsoft has not killed this project.
  • The new launches were:
    • First, Surface Pro 6: which featured a series of incremental upgrades as well as a new black colour scheme in addition to the trademark grey.
    • The processor is now Intel 8th generation with the screen getting a little bit brighter and a few other tweaks.
    • The main impact of the upgrade is better battery life and I hope better wireless connectivity.
    • Wifi and Bluetooth stability have always been a weak spot for these devices and it would be good to see Microsoft put this issue to bed.
    • Second, Surface Studio 2: which is an incremental upgrade to the previous product with better graphics performance and the first-time addition of USBC.
    • This is a product that has no real competitor in the market and hence this update is more about bringing the device into the current generation rather than enabling a new use case.
    • Third, Surface Laptop 2: adds 8th generation Intel as well as a new black colour like the Surface Pro 6.
    • The main selling point here again remains better performance and better battery life.
    • Fourth, Surface Headphones: This was the one surprise from the event.
    • The headphones are priced at $350 meaning that they have some big promises to keep when trying to part users from their money.
    • This price point puts Microsoft up against the excellent Sony 100XM3 and Bose’s leading Quiet Comfort II series.
    • A lot of thought has gone into the controls which are intuitive, and the headphones are very comfortable to wear.
    • The downside of these headphones is Cortana which has been integrated into the headphones.
    • The issue is not that the unit has an assistant but that the assistant that it does have is second rate.
    • Cortana is a hangover from the Windows Phone days and feels like a hapless refugee on a PC where its functionality is poor at best and very irritating at worst.
    • Given Microsoft’s departure from the consumer, I can’t see why it cares about Cortana and so what it should have done was to allow the consumer to choose an assistant of his liking.
    • Consequently, if Google comes out with a set of headphones just as good but with Google Assistant built-in, Surface Headphones will be at an immediate disadvantage.
  • Microsoft has done what it needed to bring its older devices up to date and the focus on productivity and office is clearer than ever.
  • This further underlines how important Office has become to Microsoft and I still believe that it is by far Microsoft’s most valuable asset.
  • With its steady transformation away from the consumer, Microsoft has continued to be a very solid performer with good earnings growth and cash flow.
  • However, I think that the valuation is beginning to look a little stretched would consider taking some money off the table.

RICHARD WINDSOR

Richard is founder, owner of research company, Radio Free Mobile. He has 16 years of experience working in sell side equity research. During his 11 year tenure at Nomura Securities, he focused on the equity coverage of the Global Technology sector.