Archive For

November 2023

Alibaba – Nadir of fortunes.

Alibaba plumbs the depths. Alibaba has lost its crown as the biggest e-commerce company in China to PinDuoDuo, which combined with a botched restructuring and...

Amazon AWS re:Invent – Show stolen.

I would like to pay tribute to Charlie Munger who passed away last night. His acerbic wit and common sense had a profound impact on...

OpenAI – Reality Test.

The valuation event will speak volumes. Although OpenAI is probably worth more now than it was 2 weeks ago, the share sale is unlikely to...

OpenAI – Reboot.

The ecosystem is still in trouble. OpenAI has been put back the way that it was, but the governance will be very different and the...

China vs. USA – Tit for tat pt. II

Reality undermines the restrict strategy. China has resumed exports of Gallium and Germanium in another sign that unless one controls the reserves, restricting access to...

Nvidia FQ3 24 – As good as it gets

Almost perfect with a valuation to match. Nvidia reported another stellar set of results, but it will need to increase its bookings at TSMC in...

OpenAI & Microsoft – Power Play

Microsoft will end up with OpenAI one way or another. The best solution to the hot mess that is OpenAI is to put everything back...

OpenAI – Hot Mess

Looks to have been a fight over profit The absurd goings-on at OpenAI this weekend look to me to have come down to disagreements about...

Qualcomm vs Apple – Black Magic

Apple won’t be able to pick a fight in 2026. As I have long suspected, Apple is really struggling to make a high-quality 5G radio...

Cisco FQ1 24 – The hangover

Cisco serves as a warning to everyone else. Cisco’s efforts to reduce revenue volatility have come unstuck as a normalisation of client activity in hardware...