Facebook – The right move

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Home is the right strategy for Facebook to extend its reach.

  • Facebook Home is a software skin that takes over the home screen of an Android device putting Facebook functionality front and centre of everything that the user does. 
  • The experience is very communication centric with updates and messages popping up from friends in a novel and graphically interesting way.
  • It will come preinstalled on the HTC First and be available to download from Google Play for selected Android devices.
  • The fact that not all Android devices will be able to run Facebook Home is yet another sign of both the horizontal and vertical fragmentation that is inherent to Android.
  • More important to the launch was the demonstration of Facebook Home running on the Samsung Galaxy S3.
  • To me this means that Facebook has developed different versions of Facebook Home to run on HTC and Samsung but how many other devices will it run on?
  • Whether it will run on the Galaxy S4 remains a mystery.
  • Facebook Home effectively makes Facebook the default communication method rather than Gmail, Skype, ChatOn, WhatsApp and so on.
  • This is crucial as it makes Facebook the easiest and most intuitive way of communicating with other users which strongly encourages the use of Facebook services beyond just social networking.
  • To me, this is the key to Facebook becoming a giant of the Internet rather than just a niche player (albeit a big niche).
  • The timing is right.
  • US smartphone users currently spend 24% of all their smartphone time engaged in Social Networking.
  • 75% of that time is spent just in the Facebook application (18% of total time) making Facebook far and away the most used application on a smartphone.
  • Given these statistics, I can see how users might be keen to install Facebook Home on their devices.
  • Facebook Home is obviously aimed at broadening and extending that reach and I think it has a good chance of success.
  • Winning broader usage is key to Facebook as the more time users spend with its services, the more it learns and the more it can earn from advertising.
  • Key metrics to look out for are:
    • How well the HTC First will sell?
    • How many times will Facebook Home be downloaded from the Google Play?
    • In 12 months time what will Facebook’s mobile usage statistics look like compared to now?
  • Only time will tell but Facebook has finally made the right move to extend its reach beyond social networking.

RICHARD WINDSOR

Richard is founder, owner of research company, Radio Free Mobile. He has 16 years of experience working in sell side equity research. During his 11 year tenure at Nomura Securities, he focused on the equity coverage of the Global Technology sector.

Blog Comments

[…] This is a worrying development because as far as I am concerned the time is right for Facebook to try and spread its influence to other areas of digital life (see here for details). […]